Study on the Real-Time Security Evaluation for the Train Service Status Using Safety Region Estimation

For the important issues of security service of rail vehicles, the online quantitative security assessment method of the service status of rail vehicles and the key equipments is urgently needed, so the method based on safety region was proposed in the paper. At first, the formal description and definition of the safety region were given for railway engineering practice. And for the research objects which their models were known, the safety region estimation method of system stability analysis based on Lyapunov exponent was proposed; and for the research objects which their models were unknown, the data-driven safety region estimation method was presented. The safety region boundary equations of different objects can be obtained by these two different approaches. At last, by real-time analysis of the location relationship and generalized distance between the equipment service status point and safety region boundary, the online safety assessment model of key equipments can be established. This method can provide a theoretical basis for online safety evaluation of trains operation; furthermore, it can provide support for real-time monitoring, early warning and systematic maintenance of rail vehicles based on the idea of active security.a