Growth Analysis and Instability in Fruits Area, Production, Productivity and Exports in India

The study focused on growth rate and instability in area, production productivity and export of fruits in India and Tamil Nadu. The present study used the secondary data collected from secondary sources. The area under fruits in Tamil Nadu and India both are increased (2.08 and 1.94 per cent) in the current year, over the base year. The compound growth rate also significantly increased (0.10 and 0.23 per cent). The production and productivity of fruits decreased in Tamil Nadu and increased in India while the compound growth rate was also negative in Tamil Nadu and positive in India. The area and its interaction effect with area were found to be responsible for decrease in the production of fruits in Tamil Nadu. The similar finding was also found in case of India the yield effect (91.84 %) followed by area effect and interaction effect of area (6.38 and 1.78 %) were found to be major contributor for increase in production of fruits. Among the three measures of instability, two measures varying confirmed that the change in production of fruits is high rather than area and productivity. The growth rate of fruits export was revealed that the compound growth rate was 0.290 in volume of export and 7.87 in value of export respectively. The increasing growth rate in value of export might be to the high instability in value of fruits exported and the instability in volume might be due to the high instability index (32.77) in production of total fruits in India.